Voter registration information from the social security administration cannot be true, but why?
The Social Security Administration (SSA) maintains a database called the Help America Vote Verification system (HAVV). This database is used to track requests for identity confirmation of would be voters. The database, to say the least, is suspicious.
I’ve been writing about this for the past couple of days, but have taken down my previous posts on this subject. The reason is that I now believe the raw data on the HAVV website, or a significant portions of it, are false. My previous articles relied on the data as if true, but at this point, I don’t see how it can be. It is yet another example of bad data in big government. This is no longer a surprise, but it is a concern.
The HAVV database tracks what it describes as “transactions.” Each transaction is a request to verify the identity of a potential voter who lacks a valid driver’s license. The database records whether the verification check succeeds by matching it to a real person, or fails because it doesn’t match anyone in the SSA database.
For most states, the numbers involved are so small that they are plausible. For instance, in New Hampshire, there are zero transactions in most years. In three years (2014, 2015, and 2017) there were 74, 604, and 279 transactions, respectively. This is not enough to be concerned. Texas, on the other hand, is problematic (Figure 1).
The population of Texas has increased by several million over the past two decades. Currently, it is at 30,503,301 people. Of that, 17,523,904 are voting age. This means that the nearly 7 million HAVV transactions recorded in 2020 represent more than a third of the voting age population and a little less than a quarter of the total population, babies included. On its face, this makes no sense.
According to the SSA website, the HAVV system is only used for first time voters who lack a valid driver’s license. If that is true, it implies that more than a third of the available pool of voting age citizens didn’t have a drivers license in 2020. In Texas, the number of licensed drivers is greater than the number of registered voters: 18,297,900. This makes sense, because some of those drivers are bound to be underage for voting.
What doesn’t make sense is that there are an additional 6,799,346 people who are eligible to vote but can’t drive, according to HAVV. Also problematic is that the HAVV figures show that there were 17,522,417 attempts to verify the credentials of would-be voters since 2020. That is only about 1,500 fewer requests than there are people of voting age in the state, for a near 100% registration level. This is impossible.
Texas Secretary of State Jane Nelson (R) responded to the HAVV data for 2024 by saying, "It is totally inaccurate that 1.2 million voters have registered to vote in Texas without a photo ID this year. The truth is our voter rolls have increased by 57,711 voters since the beginning of 2024."
Nelson added that the HAVV reported figures, which tally the number of identification requests made, not the number of successful registrations, are “inaccurate.” This is plausible in the context of transaction values in Texas that overwhelm the number of voting age residents in the last five years alone.
Arkansas is even worse. For the years 2011-2021, the number of HAVV transactions in Arkansas remain below one percent of the population. These are all credible. Then, in 2022, the number of HAVV registrations leaps to 85.55% of the total population, 124.27% of the licensed drivers, and 108.28% of the number of registered voters (Figure 2). The transactions are not being converted into registrations. If they were, there would be a relationship between the number of registered voters and the number of HAVV requests. There is none.
The HAVV numbers were horrifying when I first learned of them. They seemed to reflect millions of illegal aliens streaming through our southern border and becoming registered voters. This cannot be the case because the transactions haven’t been converted to registrations.
This doesn’t mean that the SSA is off the hook. According to Texas’ Nelson, they are working with the SSA to figure out why the numbers are “inaccurate” (false.)
The point of the HAVV database is to maintain a record of this type of requests. Theoretically, there are two outcomes: the ID is verified, or “matched” and the applicant’s registration is approved, or it isn’t matched, and the application is denied. If this is what was actually happening, the number of matched transactions should be reflected in the number of new registrations, but they aren’t.
The options are:
False due to incompetence
False due to malfeasance
And that’s about it. Anything Nelson is given as an explanation will fall under one of those categories. For instance, what if Nelson is told that the SSA decided to combine ID checks for voters with other, non-voting related requests? That could explain the inflated numbers, but is incompetent data management. It could also be designed to disguise hordes of illegal registrations in a cloud of seemingly incompetent registrations. Or, it could be a technical problem in the database itself.
No matter what the explanation proves to be, the HAVV numbers, and perhaps the database itself, is proven worthless in this, its most essential task. Maybe it can be fixed, but until it is, the system can only mislead its users. It misled me into spending several days and nights trying to figure out what was going on, and many other researchers as well.
I believe that election fraud is real, likely happens in every election to varying degrees, and is a clear danger moving into the 2024 election. I am no longer convinced that the HAVV data is useful in its present form as a way to find indicators of fraud. What it does show, is dangerous incompetence, and that is bad also.
If our government wants its citizens to have faith in elections, they need to give us good reason to believe the elections are secure and the results are accurate. The HAVV data does the opposite. It tells me that even if everyone involved is well-meaning, they can and probably will screw it up.
In this interview with Joe Hoft, Attorney Stefanie Lambert raises the issue of non-citizens being [automatically] added to the voter rolls without their knowledge. Affidavits from non-US citizens in Michigan who have attained driver licenses have confirmed they are now on the voter rolls.
Joe Hoft adds that in Florida illegals who sign up for government assistance are being “asked” if they want to be on the voter rolls.
From 20:40 to 25:50 of this video:
https://frankspeech.com/Video/surviving-attacks-for-standing-up-for-fair-elections-with-stefanie-lambert
The two states have different (AVR) Automatic Voter Registration policies. Florida has no AVR policy so it makes sense that people signing up for a government subsidy or a Drivers License would be “asked” if they wanted to register. Michigan is an AVR state, but has what is called a ‘front end’ AVR system—the voter can opt out of registering. There are 8 states with a ‘back end’ AVR, which means persons transacting with a government agency are given pending voter registration status and can opt out at a later date?? This person can go to the poll and vote under a pending status…how and when can clerks reconcile data??
The website below lists the state and their AVR status:
“Automatic voter registration is a policy that modernizes the voter registration process by
automatically registering eligible voters through their interactions with state agencies, [most commonly] when people apply for or renew their driver’s licenses.”
“Automatic voter registration helps to make sure that every eligible voter has access to vote, as well as strengthening the security and accuracy of our election systems. Our scoring distinguishes between front-end and back-end AVR; in front-end AVR systems the voter is given an opportunity to opt-out of being registered at the time of the relevant agency transaction, while in back-end systems designated agencies such as state DMVS systematically send information from relevant transactions to state election authorities. The voter is then automatically registered (or registered in pending status) before being given an opportunity to opt-out at a later time, usually through the mail.”
https://www.lgbtmap.org/img/maps/citations-automatic-voter-registration.pdf
https://www.lgbtmap.org/democracy-maps/automatic_voter_registration
I just checked the IRS Instructions for 2023 Form 1040 again. The "General Information" beginning on pg. 78, still begin with "The IRS Mission. Provide America's taxpayers top-quality service by helping them understand and meet their tax responsibilities and enforce the law with integrity and fairness to all."
The first sentences of the "General Information" are: "Voter Registration. Do you need to check or update your voter registration? Visit vote.gov to confirm with your state election office.
When I go to Vote.gov they tell me they are in "partnership" with US Election Assistance Commission. When I go to US Election Assistance Commission's website I find myself in the tangled web of "How can anything be legitimate here?". So, it looks like the entire government is in the cookie jar. If I was a county clerk, I would be furious at the mess these people build. Their disingenuous "efforts" are so obvious.