Today, I had a conversation with a friend about New Jersey’s mysterious drones. We wanted to come up with a hypothesis that is consistent with what is known about the drones, and had the potential to explain them. In the end, we came up with a viable candidate: The drones are being delivered for use elsewhere.
Here are a few things we ruled out:
Pranksters: these drones are too expensive due to their size and numbers.
Commercial usage, like crop dusting or Amazon delivery: inappropriate locations and time, in addition to no claim of responsibility from any company
Military testing: would be done in a remote location, like the desert of California, not in densely populated urban areas
Surveillance: Drones are clustered too close together in video of their swarm behavior. This would eliminate any advantage given by their numbers, which would be more spread out for surveillance
Any kind of private use: too numerous and expensive, plus no declaration of responsibility, to prevent destruction of personal property.
Aliens: the videos look like manmade technology, no reason to go so far as alien tech.
This leaves: Military
Domestic
Foreign
If our military were using these, and it wasn’t to test experimental technology or surveillance, about the only possibility left is to create a false narrative or panic of some kind. For instance, to conceal sightings of real UFOs. However, that doesn’t work because in that case it would be easier to just say that the real ufo was a military drone. No need to conspicuously launch dozens of them to confuse the issue.
Another possible false narrative is to instill fear of a foreign military adversary by creating a false flag operation. We’ve seen this with the Russia hoax, J6, and the Patriot Front group. In this case, it doesn’t work as well because the drones haven’t been observed doing anything overtly hostile.
For these reasons, and lack of evidence to suggest otherwise, I don’t like the false narrative theory.
Iran is reported to have launched the drones from a boat off the coast of New Jersey. My friend thinks our military would have interdicted the boat by now if that was true. I agree. The same is true of any other foreign “mother ship.”
Now we get to the theory I like. What if there is a boat, or boats, passing by the coast of New Jersey, but not a mother ship to which the drones return? What if it is a delivery vessel, like a container ship on its way to New York or Connecticut? In that case, it could be launching the drones at night for delivery to agents on land in New Jersey as it passes the coast. The drones could land near waiting trucks, then drive off to wherever they are going.
To make it a little more interesting than drone smuggling, which is what that would be, the drones could be carrying something else as well. For instance, arms for illegal aliens from other countries.
A curiosity about many of our illegal aliens is that they are single military aged men, many from China and other hostile nations. If they were meant to function as a military inside the US, how would they arm themselves? These drones could do it, at the same time as providing advanced drone capabilities.
That’s as far as I’ve gotten with this puzzle. However, without any downed drones to look at, everything is pure guesswork at this stage.
UPDATE: after all this speculation, someone on the Internet has a very plausible explanation: a test of radiation detecting drones. Here is the link.
UPDATE 2: And now Scott Adams weighs in with another plausible theory; war prep.
UPDATE 3: This is from a drone expert: sniffing for radiation, or something, on the ground.
Your update re; radiation detection.
I thought about that. It could be a red cell exercise. Team plays role of terrorists and hides in urban areas with a device containing radiation and drone team tries to find them. I suppose there is a form of radiation that could be used that wouldn't harm the red cell team? I don't know. However, the main issue I have with that theory is that the bulk of the testing would be done in the middle of nowhere. Hide radiation out on some proving ground and then see if the drones can find it. I'm not sure that the urban environment adds anything to the proving. Also, such an exercise would be short in duration and limited in geographic area. Maybe a few square miles.
If those really are radiation detection drones, then there must be a real credible threat that foreign actors have a nuclear device(s) in our cities.
It still doesn't explain drones buzzing Coast Guard ships, flying around and over military installations and some other aggressive or odd behaviors.
Another possibility is drug smugglers. They would be acting just like a foreign enemy; launching cargo drones from ships to deliver illegal drugs to dealers in coastal cities, instead of weapons. Of course, drug dealers and foreign enemies are not mutually exclusive. Both could be happening.
Some other scenarios could be (probably are) occurring within the same time frame. Some of the violations of military installation airspace could be 'red cell' exercises. That is secret teams of US military personnel with orders to probe and test defenses to detect vulnerabilities. There is no reason that the red cell exercises wouldn't be the result of actual foreign spying activity using drones. So the red cell activities and the actual foreign probes get jumbled together in media presentations.
Then there are going to be false sightings of various types; including pranksters and honest misidentification. There are also going to be hobby drones in the air at any given time. Challenging to parse out what is real and what is an actual threat.
All that said, there is sufficient evidence that there are relatively large, expensive, cargo drones, flying in large numbers, often in coordinated swarms, off the NE coast - and that is a problem that needs to be solved ASAP. During a conference with NJ politicians and LEOs, it was revealed that the cargo type drones were flying - up to 50 of them - in 35 mph+ cross winds. Apparently, no hobbyist or LEO risks flying an expensive drone in those weather conditions. The coordinated flight patterns are well beyond the capability of hobbyists and LEOs. The cost of so many of those drones is outside the means of hobbyists and LEOs.
I think the cargo drones use lights to appear in compliance with guidelines and to obscure their shape, which is distinctive of cargo drones. Moon light and street lights can reveal the shape if the drone is flying dark. These drones also probably fly in non-linear paths to their destinations so as to confuse anyone who might be able to track them and, thus, conceal their destination.