This morning, I fired off a quick post to show that incidence of illegal voter registrations known as “clones” is accelerating. The chart I used came from a little county that didn’t have many clones compared to other counties. After getting up this morning, I decided to run the numbers for the whole state and to improve the quality of the charts at the same time. The results are shocking to me, and should be for you also.
First a definition of “cloned registration.” I coined this term almost three years ago to describe a type of record known as a “duplicate” by state and county Boards of Election that can be distinguished from other duplicates.
Imagine a voter named John Doe. John has two voter registration records in the state voter roll database. They have the same state ID number (SID), but different county ID numbers CID) because John moved from New York County, where he was originally registered, to Seneca County, where he was registered a second time. This is legal because he only has one SID and the two CID numbers were generated for legitimate reasons.
Now lets say that John Doe moves a third time and another record is generated. This time, the new record is given a new CID and a new SID. Now, John is a clone because he has more than one SID. This is illegal. Multiple laws prevent the creation of a second SID for any voter for any reason. Multiple regulations governing voter rolls are designed specifically to prevent this from happening. The existence of cloned registrations is illegal the moment they are created, whether they are used or not.
One problem created by cloned registrations is that mail-in ballots are now automatically sent to every registered voter, based on SID. If one person has more than one, and some have more than a dozen, they will get live ballots for all of those excess registrations. They can send them in, and they will be counted because they are attached to unique SID numbers. Those ID numbers are the only way our elections system in New York has to ensure one vote per person. When one person has more than one number, that system is seriously compromised.
There are 1,467,208 clone registrations found in the NY State voter rolls discovered to date. In addition, there are 498,472 registrations that have been deleted from the rolls, most or all of which were likely clone registrations*.
I broke down the number of clones by year and by decade, to show how the numbers start at nearly zero in 1990 (they are zero in many decades before that) and rapidly start rising in the 1990’s to a high of 17.36%.
The number of new clone registrations dips between presidential election years, but never goes below the previous values for non-presidential elections. We have an accelerating number of illegal registrations that is currently closing in on 20% of all registrationns. That is a serious threat to the integrity of our elections, no matter what the reason behind it proves to be.
*These figures are based on the specific methodology used to count records in specific versions of the database used. Use of a different version of the database or a different methodology will produce different numbers. Also, it is known that there are a small number of false positives included in the clone count. There are also an unknown number of false negatives that likely more than compensate for the false positives.
The false positives are real people who share the same first name, last name, and birth date. although this phenomenon exists and is known to have affected records, the quantity is small enough to be negligible. For instance, the common name “John Smith occurs 1,637 time in New York’s voter rolls. Of those, 286 belong to a pair with the same birth date. Of that group, 117 have the same ID numbers, making them duplicates, not clones, leaving 169 to evaluate further. Of those, only 104 were identified as clones by my criteria.
Meaning, with the most common name in the English language, there is a maximum of about 3.18% who might be false positives. Since the current incidence of clones is much higher than that, and the number of identified clones effectively zero a few decades ago, this is an unlikely explanation. In addition, I have seen official registration forms with identical signatures that resulted in clone registrations. The NYSBOE is wrong about this to the extent that the explanation cannot be applied to the full scope of the phenomenon.
From 1980 to 2020, now that’s a real Hockey Stick. It explains why we have so many Hockey Puck politicians in NY.
Today there is a special election in NY CD 3.
The very fact that these clones exist on the registration data base, alone, makes this special election invalid or un-certifiable before it began.
The immigrants don’t need to vote. Just by being here they will be counted in the next survey and for each 750k (I think) a new member of the House will be added to represent them. IDK how and forgotten how/if this effects the electoral college works high school civics was a long time ago.